Rss Feed Tweeter button Facebook button Myspace button Flickr button Youtube button
Dec 23 2008

Home sales, prices in deep plunge

Realtors: Sales of existing homes fall 8.6% – much worse than expected – as median prices suffer worst decline since Depression.
_________

I am a little nervous at the use of the word, “Depression.” I am not nervous in the facts that represent themselves. The numbers are out there to give us some cause to think that this might be the case, but the sheer level and pervasiveness of the actual Depression is something that I don’t think we have seen yet.

We must remember that the total population of the US was much smaller, that the sheer number of businesses, properties and farms were far fewer than today and that much of the nation was still under-developed. Here we are years later and to say that we have a true Depression that is of the magnitude of the Great Depression is not truly true. Percentage-wise, I think we still have a very affluent society versus the society of the 1930’s – 1940’s. I think it will still have to get much worse.

So, in the case of the housing market, we CAN say that the prices have taken the largest drop since the Great Depression, but the prices also took the greatest speculative leaps over the last 5 years ever in history. So, with that said, this is a correction, not a Depression.

Let’s just get our perspective right.

Read the rest of the story by clicking the link below.

pd

read more | digg story

Popularity: 1% [?]


Dec 23 2008

For clean energy, look to the Internet

Infotech pioneer Bob Metcalfe says the skills that helped drive the infotech revolution can do the same for energy efficiency and eco-friendly materials.

(Fortune) — Back in the 1960s, when Bob Metcalfe was in college, he would drive to MIT in Cambridge, Mass., from his home in Brooklyn, call home once he arrived, allow the phone to ring three times and hang up, to let his mother know he’d arrived safely.

“The long-distance call was so expensive that mom didn’t want to pay for it,” Metcalfe recalls. “She loved me a lot — but not that much.”

Today, of course, phone calls cost nothing on evenings and weekends and, using Skype, you can call anywhere in the world for free or just pennies a minute. Information — phone calls, baseball scores, this column, Wikipedia — has become cheap and easy to find because of the telecom and Internet revolutions, which created an abundance of low-cost bandwidth.

Metcalfe helped drive those revolutions, and now, as a venture capitalist with Polaris Venture Partners in Cambridge, he wants to help engineer another revolution, this one in energy.

“The world needs an abundance of cheap and clean energy,” he says.

You may not know his name but Metcalfe’s work has likely affected your life. He invented the Ethernet in 1973, founded the networking company 3Com in 1979 and even has a law named after him, Metcalfe’s Law, which says that the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of its connected users.

Like John Doerr of Kleiner Perkins and Vinod Khosla of Khosla Ventures, Metcalfe believes that the set of skills that helped drive the infotech revolution can do the same for renewable energy, energy efficiency and eco-friendly materials.

“The world should be happy that a bunch of Internet people like me have turned their attention to energy because that’s how we are going to solve it,” Metcalfe says. “It is easier to teach energy to people who are steeped in the entrepreneurial culture than it is to teach entrepreneurial culture to people who know energy.”

“People who have worked for BP for 25 years have no entrepreneurial bones,” he adds.

Metcalfe is irreverent, colorful and funny. He has been traveling around the country giving a slide show about what lessons drawn from the infotech revolution can be applied to solving our energy problems. Among them:

* Rather than building large, centralized power plants we should build lots of smaller, distributed sources of electricity. “This may be the Internet’s killer lesson for energy: Go distributed!” Metcalfe says. Just as laptops replaced big mainframe computers, solar power on roofs or even small-scale nuclear plants can replace big, polluting coal plants.
* Make the electricity grid a smart, two-way system, like the Internet, so that energy can move around freely. Everyone can be a buyer and seller of energy, just as everyone on the Internet can be a publisher or broadcaster or a consumer of media.
* Bubbles are good. Speculative bubbles accelerate innovation. They did so around infotech and will do so with clean energy.
* Don’t look to Washington for solutions. “Technological innovation is a war with status quo,” says Metcalfe. “And the status quo is big and mean and resourceful and they own Washington.”
* But Washington can help by breaking up monopolies (AT&T and IBM before the Internet), reducing capital gains taxes to spur investment and sponsoring basic research.

Metcalfe barely mentions Polaris’s portfolio companies during his talk but he tells Fortune that Polaris has invested in startups that are developing solar energy, energy networking and microbatteries, among other products.

Green Fuel, for example, is a company where Metcalfe worked for a time as CEO and is now board chairman. Its goal is to harvest carbon dioxide from power plants to grow algae. “It’s green in two ways,” Metcalfe says. “It’s a CO2 recycling company. Then we are green out the back door because if the CO2 is used to make biodiesel, it’s a renewable fuel.” The technology works but getting it to commercial scale is a challenge.

Ember, where Metcalfe also worked as CEO, provides wireless technology, called Zigbee, to offices and homes to drive energy efficiency. The system helped one hotel cut its energy costs by “up to 40 percent,” according to Ember’s website, where you can also watch a video of Metcalfe’s talk.

As Metcalfe has become an evangelist for clean energy, he has made changes in his personal habits as well, trading in a gas guzzler for an energy-efficient Smart Car with a small Mercedes engine.

“I traded in my 12-cylinder Mercedes for a three-cylinder Mercedes,” he says, showing a photo of the pint-sized vehicle. “What I most like about this car is that I now own a six-car garage.”

_____________________
Click below for the full article and related articles and links at Fortune Magazine.

read more | digg story

Popularity: 2% [?]


Dec 23 2008

A Cast of Thousands

The mission of the church is not efficiency, but developing all its people. The church should care less about getting the job done and more about the people doing it. We are not in the efficiency business. Our business is to make disciples. We want to offer as many people as possible the chance to know Christ in service and in community.
______________________

Go to Leadership Journal’s website for the rest of this article. It’s so easy to get caught up in performace and production and forget PEOPLE!

Click below for the rest of the story…
pd

read more | digg story

Popularity: 1% [?]